By Mike Dolan
March 25 –
What matters in U.S. and global markets today
By Mike Dolan, Editor-At-Large, Finance and Markets
There were some glimmers of hope in the energy markets on Wednesday as oil prices slipped back and stocks caught a break after Iran indicated to the UN that it would allow some ships from non-combatant countries to pass through the Strait of Hormuz.
Meantime, Washington continued to talk up the chances of negotiation, with reports circulating of a 15-point plan involving a month-long ceasefire. Iran continues to deny any talks are underway, however, and missiles continue to fly around the region.
I’ll get into that and more below.
But first, check out my latest column on how Gulf states’ shaken faith in U.S. military protection could ripple through the petrodollar system.
And catch today’s episode of the Morning Bid podcast, where I discuss oil’s latest moves and what recent business surveys tell us about how the real economy is absorbing the energy shock.
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FIFTEEN POINTS TO PONDER
Amid all the conflicting Iran war headlines coming out, traders appear to be choosing to look on the bright side. Brent crude eased to as low as $98 per barrel on Wednesday, while U.S. crude hovered around $88.
Asian equities closed comfortably up, meantime, with South Korea’s KOSPI gaining around 1.5% and Japan’s Nikkei nearly 3%. European shares rose by more than 1% after the open, while U.S. futures were up before the bell.
And in another sign of the buoyed sentiment, gold – which has behaved more like a risk asset lately – was up by nearly 2% on Wednesday morning as it benefited from a softer dollar and easing concerns about higher interest rates.
Nevertheless, it’s clear the war has caused a significant hit to economic confidence. Tuesday saw the first sweep of business surveys from March, which showed stalling private sector growth in the eurozone, rising U.S. inflation fears and more.
Overall, uncertainty is the order of the day as it remains unclear who exactly President Trump is negotiating with and whether a swift alleviation of energy disruption can really be secured. A spokesperson for the Iranian Armed Forces accused the U.S. of negotiating with itself.
Elsewhere, private credit jitters continued as Ares joined Apollo and other asset managers to become the latest to halt redemptions after a wave of investors sought to exit certain funds.
And in technology news, South Korean chipmaker SK Hynix is reportedly planning to list in the U.S. in the second half of 2026, while Elon Musk’s SpaceX could file for an IPO as soon as this week or next week, according to The Information.
Chart of the day
According to a Reuters/Ipsos poll, only 29% of the country approves of President Trump’s economic stewardship, the lowest rating in either of Trump’s terms and lower than any economic approval rating of his predecessor, Democrat Joe Biden.
Today’s events to watch
* U.S. February import prices (4:30 PM EDT), Q4 current account (4:30 PM EDT)
* U.S. 5-year and 7-year note auctions
* Fed’s Stephen Miran speaks
* ECB President Christine Lagarde speaks
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Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
(By Mike Dolan)
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